Technological
Change: A National Inventory of Its Consequences
by David Weintraub
May 1937
The
extent to which individuals are affected by the displacement and
absorption effects of technological improvements cannot be measured
adequately with the data now available. There are indications,
however, that we are heading toward greater instability of employment.
This trend is traceable in part to technical industrial progress,
which has been accompanied by a relative increase in the production
of capital equipment and durable consumers' goods as compared
with the production of other goods. The initial purchase of durable
goods can often be postponed, their replacement delayed. During
depression periods, therefore, their production drops further
and at a more rapid rate than the production of non-durable goods.
Since, as a long term trend, an increasing portion of our economic
effort is devoted to the production of capital equipment and other
durable goods, involving a growing proportion of worker-consumers,
it seems clear that one of the important effects of our progress
in industrial technology is greater instability in production
and hence in employment.
Aside,
however, from these general questions of the swings in the production
of the nation's goods and services and the distribution of the
nation's income, there are obvious problems involving the adjustment
of individual workers to evolving industrial processes. However
moderate or cataclysmic industrial fluctuations may be, industrial
techniques will continue to change and these changes will modify
the skills required in production processes and the geographic
location of job opportunities. Individual workers will be forced
out of their jobs as occupational requirements change; they will
have to search for employment or they will need to acquire a new
skill and, unless somehow compensated by society, they will, with
their time and wages lost in the adjustment process, pay part
of the price of the social and economic progress made possible
by changing industrial techniques.
American industrial engineering has concentrated
upon the creation of machines and processes whereby goods and
services may be produced with constantly diminished human effort.
Without the technical development of the past we could not have
attained the higher plane of material well-being which we have
come to accept as normal. But while engineering has been geared
to the continual improvement of mechanical efficiency, other costs
and values have frequently been overlooked. New machines are rigorously
tested so that mechanical efficiencies are fairly well known before
their introduction into an industry, but changes in the human
requirements are almost completely disregarded. Frequently the
effects on the individual workers are realized only after workers
possessing skills accumulated during the best years of life find
themselves forgotten on the industrial scrap heap. Provision for
the obsolescence of machinery due to technological change is usually
made in the cost accounting systems of industry and is an important
consideration in the introduction of new machinery, but it is
the exceptional management which provides for its displaced labor
force. Yet, technological change junks the skills of workers as
surely as it renders worthless machinery which has not been worn
out.
|
Our
efficiency is in part responsible for today's relief rolls.
If unemployment in 1937 is to be cut to its 1929 level,
then the production of goods and services must be stepped
up 20 percent above the output of the last boom year. This
is set forth in a recent report on one aspect of the Works
Progress Administration study of Reemployment Opportunities
and Recent Changes in Industrial Techniques. The report
points out that while the "nation's output increased 46
percent from 1920 to 1929, there was a simultaneous increase
of only 16 percent in the nation's labor force." Man hours
required to turn out one manufactured unit were cut more
than one third between 1920 and 1934. The report indicates
that the trend is toward greater technical efficiency, calling
for an increasing expansion in production and marketing
if unemployment in this country is to be brought down to
1929 figures and held there.
The WPA study of recent changes in industrial
techniques and their effects on employment and unemployment
was organized in December 1935. The task was to assemble
and analyze existing information bearing on the problem,
and to supplement this data by field techniques. Surveys
have been made of a number of industriesmanufacturing,
mining, agriculture and railroad transportation. To help
complete the picture, employment histories of more than
20,000 workers have been collected, showing the effect of
technical change on individual wage earners.
The
project has had the cooperation not only of industry and
labor, but of governmental and private agencies, including
the Departments of Labor, Commerce and Interior, the Railroad
Retirement Board, Social Security Board, Bureau of Internal
Revenue, Federal Trade Commission, National Bureau of Economic
Research, the Employment Stabilization Research Institute
of the University of Minnesota, and the Industrial Research
Department of the University of Pennsylvania.
In the succeeding pages Mr. Hine presents
pictures selected to illustrate one phase of the project,
the impact of industrial evolution on the skills of a group
of factory workers.
|
To
Corresponding Photo Essay
|